Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.008550 0.009605 0.010762 0.012130 0.013707 0.015473 0.017609
2025-04-27 0.007065 0.008527 0.010273 0.012527 0.015385 0.018923 0.023682
2025-05-04 0.006108 0.007720 0.009753 0.012539 0.016310 0.021312 0.028575
2025-05-11 0.005468 0.007170 0.009414 0.012641 0.017252 0.023737 0.033797
2025-05-18 0.004902 0.006625 0.008981 0.012510 0.017787 0.025594 0.038428
2025-05-25 0.004520 0.006276 0.008758 0.012617 0.018636 0.027974 0.044198
2025-06-01 0.004143 0.005888 0.008427 0.012502 0.019103 0.029789 0.049311
2025-06-08 0.003744 0.005427 0.007935 0.012074 0.018997 0.030626 0.052837
2025-06-15 0.003512 0.005193 0.007760 0.012118 0.019656 0.032817 0.059166
2025-06-22 0.003396 0.005125 0.007832 0.012566 0.021045 0.036470 0.068955
2025-06-29 0.003154 0.004834 0.007520 0.012326 0.021177 0.037817 0.074333
2025-07-06 0.002930 0.004558 0.007206 0.012047 0.021197 0.038938 0.079425
2025-07-13 0.002755 0.004356 0.007015 0.011996 0.021695 0.041191 0.087777
2025-07-20 0.002667 0.004294 0.007062 0.012391 0.023129 0.045629 0.102379
2025-07-27 0.002527 0.004133 0.006916 0.012404 0.023787 0.048512 0.113896
2025-08-03 0.002413 0.004007 0.006823 0.012504 0.024638 0.051962 0.127801
2025-08-10 0.002279 0.003833 0.006625 0.012375 0.024970 0.054259 0.139165
2025-08-17 0.002186 0.003729 0.006548 0.012480 0.025836 0.057990 0.155746
2025-08-24 0.002075 0.003580 0.006375 0.012367 0.026186 0.060494 0.169357
2025-08-31 0.001936 0.003372 0.006071 0.011944 0.025753 0.060901 0.176402
2025-09-07 0.001860 0.003279 0.005986 0.011988 0.026450 0.064450 0.195105
2025-09-14 0.001833 0.003275 0.006076 0.012430 0.028194 0.071235 0.227655
2025-09-21 0.001737 0.003133 0.005877 0.012193 0.028177 0.072976 0.242122